Abstract
Objective: Chikungunya virus is spread by mosquitos and causes a debilitating chronic arthritis that has no standard treatment to date and no specific measures of disease activity. The objective of this expert group was to develop a measure of chikungunya arthritis that would be useful for clinical trials and patient care.
Methods: A group of rheumatologists and biostatisticians experienced in the clinical and pathological mechanisms of chikungunya evaluated component measures for inclusion in a chikungunya arthritis disease activity score (CHIK-DAS). Utilizing data from a Colombian cohort of 158 chikungunya arthritis patients, linear regression identified components that were independently associated with patient reported outcomes assessing disability, pain, physical and mental quality of life and mobility. A preliminary instrument was developed using multiple imputation and regression backward selection. Cutoffs for grading disease severity were determined.
Results: Stiffness, ankle tenderness, and a 30 tender joint count that included the 28 joints traditionally included in the Disease Activity Score-28 were selected in a regression model predicting a composite of five patient reported outcomes. A CHIK-DAS scoring formula was developed through a weighted combination of these selected variables. In comparison to the DAS-28, the CHIK-DAS had improved predictive value for a composite outcome of disability, pain, physical and mental quality of life and mobility. Disease activity cutoffs were defined for remission (<40), mild (40-49.99), moderate (50-59.99) and severe (60+) disease.
Conclusion: The CHIK-DAS is a chikungunya specific measure of disease activity that includes the DAS-28 with the addition of ankle tenderness and a stiffness item that are prominent components of chikungunya arthritis. CHIK-DAS may be used as a specific measure of disease activity in chikungunya arthritis in clinical trials and patient care. This metric needs further validation in additional cohorts.
Keywords
Chikungunya, Arthritis, Disease severity score, Quality of life, Disability, Pain, Clinical trials